Experts call for research-based policy formation to mitigate negative impacts of abrupt change in monsoon patterns
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ISLAMABAD, Aug 8 (APP): The Federal Flood Commission (FFC) has said that River Chenab is flowing in very high flood at Qadirabad and in high flood at Khanki and low flood at Marala while River Indus at Tarbela and River Kabul at Warsak are also flowing in low flood.

According to daily FFC report on Monday, sharp peak of high to very high flood Level is expected in River Jhelum at Mangla (Inflow) and high flood level in River Chenab during
the next 24 hours.

The other main rivers including Rivers Jhelum, Ravi and Sutlej are flowing normal.

The river flows and reservoir elevations indicates that Tarbela and Mangla reservoirs are at elevations of 1528.15 feet and 1237.85 feet respectively, which are 21.85 feet & 4.15 feet below their respective Maximum Conservation Levels of 1550.00 feet and 1242.00 feet.

The combined live storage capacity of Tarbela, Chashma and Mangla reservoirs is 12.439 MAF as compared to last year’s 13.444 MAF.

The Dam Management Authorities are advised to take utmost care and vigilance in operation and strictly follow SOPs and safety guidelines.

According to Flood Forecasting Division, Lahore, yesterday’s trough of Westerly Wave continues to prevail over Northern parts of the country, whereas, yesterday’s Monsoon Low
Pressure Area over Northeastern Madhya Pradesh (India) lies over North Madhya Pradesh (India).

Seasonal Low still persists over Northern Balochistan. Moderate moist current from Bay of Bengal is penetrating into upper parts of the country upto 5000 feet.

As predicted by the Flood Forecasting Division, Lahore, scattered thunderstorm/rain with isolated heavy falls and one or two very heavy falls is expected over the upper catchments of Rivers Jhelum, Chenab, Ravi & Sutlej during the next 24 hours.

Scattered thunderstorm/rain may also occur over the upper catchments of River Indus including Rawalpindi, Sargodha, Gujranwala, Lahore & Bahawalpur Divisions, besides, Southern Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Peshawar, Kohat & D.I. Khan Divisions) and Northeastern Balochistan during the same period. Flash flooding is expected in the Hill Torrents of D.G. Khan Division during the next 24 hours.

Scattered thunderstorm/rain with isolated heavy falls and one or two very heavy falls is expected over the upper catchments of all major rivers including Northern & Northeastern Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa during 9 th – 11 th August 2016, which may generate flash flood flows in local nullahs (the tributaries of Rivers Chenab & Ravi) and Hill Torrents of D.G. Khan & Kohat Divisions.

All concerned authorities are advised to remain ALERT, watch the situation closely and take all necessary precautionary measures in order to avoid loss of human lives and damage to private and public property.

Significant rainfall events reported by the Flood Forecasting Division, Lahore during the past 24 hours, include; Oghi = 206 mm, Shinkiari = 86 mm, Bannu = 64 mm, Islamabad
(Zeropoint = 63 mm, Shamsabad = 32 mm & Golra = 11 mm), Kotli = 61 mm, Balakot & Kund = 49 mm each, Ura = 39 mm, Marala = 37 mm, Kohat = 33 mm, Phulra = 30 mm, Domel & Dara-e-Tang = 28 mm each, Kakul = 27 mm, Sialkot (Cantt = 27 mm & Airport = 16 mm), Jhelum = 26 mm, Faisalabad, Palote & Palandri = 25 mm each, T.T.Singh & Muzaffarabad = 23 mm each, D.G. Khan (Mari = 23 mm & Fort Minro = 14 mm), Chattar Kallas = 22 mm, Hattian Bala = 19 mm, Gujranwala & Dhok Pathan = 18 mm each, Gupis
= 17 mm, Garhidupatta & Gujrat = 16 mm each, Dir, Talhatta & Malamjabba = 15 mm each, Jhang = 14 mm, Mangla = 12 mm, Saidu Sharif, Sehrkakota & Besham = 11 mm each, Murree & Shorkot = 10 mm each.