ISLAMABAD, June 13 (APP): Monsoon would likly to start in third
week of June with 10-20 percent above normal rainfall forecast over
the country, with a spell of averaged three months till September.
An official of Met office told APP that the El Ni¤o phenomenon
has weakened and La Ni¤a is favored to develop during the current
summer season.
Prevailing oceanic and atmospheric conditions are giving
indications of good summer monsoon rainfall in the country. Based on statistical and dynamical downscaling of global circulation models,
outlook for the season is prepared at 80 percent confidence level
for planning purposes.
He said more than average rainfall is expected over Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), Sindh, Azad Jammu and Kashmir and Northeast Balochistan.
Some extreme rainfall events are likely to occur in the catchment
areas of major rivers and other parts of the country which may cause
floods.
There is a high probability of heavy downpour which may generate
Flash Flooding along Suleman Range, he informed.
He informed that some heavy downpour events may produce urban
flooding in big cities, he informed adding, some strong incursions
of monsoon currents, coupled with high temperature, may trigger
Glacial Lake Outburst Floods (GLOF), Landslides and Flash Floods in
Upper KP and Gilgit Baltistan (GB).
