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Up to 18,000 could die in major Tokyo quake, mostly from fires: estimate

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TOKYO Dec 19 (Kyodo/APP): A powerful earthquake that has a high probability of occurring beneath Tokyo and nearby areas within the next few decades could kill up to 18,000 people, with two-thirds of the estimated deaths caused by fires, a government panel showed Friday.

But the latest estimate, made on the basis of a magnitude 7.3 quake hitting the metropolitan area, is 5,000 lower than the previous calculation in 2013, reflecting an increase in seismic-prepared buildings and fire prevention measures in densely packed districts with many wooden houses.

For comparison, there were 15,900 deaths related to the magnitude 9.0 earthquake and tsunami that devastated northeastern Japan on March 11, 2011.

Economic losses from factory destruction and reduced production, meanwhile, are projected at 82.6 trillion yen ($530 billion) in the worst-case scenario, down around 13 trillion yen from the previous estimate.

The government plans to update its disaster preparedness for a Tokyo inland earthquake and strengthen efforts to reduce damage and maintain core government functions under a new disaster management agency to be launched in fiscal 2026.

The government sees a roughly 70 percent chance of a magnitude 7 quake occurring beneath the metropolis within the next 30 years. The scenario assumes it being centered in the southern central area of Tokyo, where the capital’s core infrastructure would be hardest hit.

The worst-case scenario involves the quake hitting on a winter evening with winds of 28.8 kilometers per hour. Fatalities are expected across Tokyo and four nearby prefectures, with 8,000 deaths, or more than 40 percent of the total, projected in Tokyo alone.

Up to 402,000 buildings could collapse or burn down, down by around 210,000 from the previous estimate, with evacuees expected to gradually rise to 4.8 million after two weeks.

The projection for the first time also included estimates of deaths linked to people being forced to live in disaster shelters, putting it somewhere between 16,000 and 41,000.

In the event of a quake on a weekday at noon, an estimated 8.4 million people in Tokyo and four surrounding prefectures — Chiba, Kanagawa, Saitama and Ibaraki — would be unable to return to their homes. An additional 650,000 to 880,000 visitors to the areas, including tourists from overseas, could also be stranded.

In a separate estimate by the panel about a magnitude 8 earthquake along the Sagami Trough south of the capital, the death toll was reduced from 70,000 to 23,000.

Although the likelihood of such a quake occurring in the near future is considered low, potential casualties are greater than in the Tokyo inland scenario due to the high risk of tsunami and the need for rescue operations to cover a much wider area.

Country’s economy moving towards stability: BB Governor

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DHAKA, Dec 19 (BSS/APP) : Bangladesh Bank Governor Dr Ahsan H Mansur said the country has successfully navigated a difficult economic phase and is now moving steadily towards stability, backed by strong macroeconomic fundamentals and wide-ranging reforms in the banking sector.
Speaking at a seminar on “Banking Sector Reforms: Challenges and the Way Forward,” as the chief guest at the Economic Reporters Forum (ERF), the Governor said preserving public confidence in banks, restoring macroeconomic stability and addressing structural weaknesses remain the key priorities of the central bank.
He noted that while confidence in the banking sector has not been fully restored, it has been largely maintained despite prolonged stress. “Preserving confidence itself is a major achievement during a challenging period,” he said, adding that the depositors have continued to show patience and cooperation.
Highlighting macroeconomic performance, the Governor said Bangladesh’s balance of payments position is now very strong. He said the financial account is in a substantial surplus, and the overall external balance remains firmly positive. Foreign exchange reserves have already risen in the current year.
“There is absolutely no risk of economic collapse, even with the upcoming election,” he said, stressing that external sector stability has been restored faster than initially expected. What was projected to take two to three years has largely been achieved within the first year, he added.
On exchange rate management, the Governor said there is no immediate concern. Bangladesh Bank has purchased more than US$2.5 billion from the foreign exchange market through transparent, market-based mechanisms and will continue to intervene only when necessary to ensure stability.
“Our policy is very clear: reserves must be built from our own economy, not through borrowing from external sources,” he said, adding that Bangladesh Bank will continue to act as a responsible participant in the foreign exchange market, as central banks do worldwide.
The Governor said the central bank aims to raise foreign exchange reserves to around US$34–$35 billion by the end of the year. This target, he added, will be pursued regardless of IMF disbursements. “IMF money is not essential for balance of payments stability. The real value of the IMF lies in technical support, not financing,” he observed.
Turning to banking sector reforms, the Governor identified three persistent challenges: weak governance in some institutions, capital shortfalls in several banks, and a high level of non-performing loans (NPLs). He said the true NPL ratio stands at around 36 percent, and Bangladesh Bank has opted for full transparency in data disclosure.
“We will not hide data. Transparency is the first step towards recovery,” he said, acknowledging concerns about credit ratings but stressing that concealment would only delay reforms.
As part of governance measures, the boards of 14 banks have been dissolved, and clear warnings have been issued that governance failures will lead to intervention. Resolution, he said, is an integral part of the governance process. In some cases, he however, said Bangladesh Bank has refrained from intervention where banks demonstrated strong deposit mobilisation despite high loan losses. Restrictions on such banks are being gradually eased based on performance monitoring.
The central bank Governor said five weak banks are being merged after completing all legal and regulatory procedures. Under the expanded deposit insurance scheme, depositors will have immediate access to insured funds, while a new alternative account mechanism will allow partial but prompt access to deposits.
Dr Mansur said the merged entity will emerge as one of the strongest banks in the country, with high paid-up capital, adequate liquidity and a wide branch network. “The government fully guarantees depositor protection. Confidence must not be lost, as that would harm everyone,” he said.
For non-bank financial institutions, the Governor said resolution will primarily take the form of liquidation rather than mergers, with depositor interests receiving the highest priority. Sponsor shareholders responsible for mismanagement, he added, will not be protected.
He also said dividend and bonus payments have been restricted for banks that are not profitable or have capital shortfalls. Accountability will extend to boards and management, while large loans above Taka 200 million will undergo third-party collateral verification and forensic scrutiny.
From January, risk-based supervision will be fully implemented across all banks, alongside the development of in-house forensic audit capacity at Bangladesh Bank to ensure early detection of financial misconduct.
Looking ahead, the Governor said comprehensive reform of the financial sector will take time—but must continue without interruption. He said key legal reforms include strengthening the bank resolution framework, deposit insurance, loan recovery laws, insolvency legislation and establishing an asset management company.
He also emphasised the need to strengthen the independence of Bangladesh Bank, saying legal protection from political pressure is essential for effective central banking. Finally, the Governor highlighted initiatives on financial inclusion and bond market development, noting that reducing excessive corporate reliance on banks through bonds and capital market instruments is vital for long-term financial sector maturity.
“Challenges remain, but the direction is clear,” he said, expressing confidence that sustained reforms and accountability will ensure a resilient and stable banking system for Bangladesh.

China, Zimbabwe sign deal to upgrade irrigation facilities

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HARARE, Dec 19 (BRNN/APP): China and Zimbabwe on Thursday signed letters of exchange on the upgrading and maintenance of the China-aid irrigation schemes project, aiming to strengthen Zimbabwe’s agricultural productivity and climate change resilience.

The project will upgrade and renovate nine irrigation facilities in six provinces of Zimbabwe, according to the Chinese Embassy in Zimbabwe.

Responding to a question from Xinhua following the signing ceremony, Zimbabwean Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube said the support from China will aid Zimbabwe’s goal of increasing irrigated land and modernizing agriculture to boost productivity, particularly for rural farmers.

“This support from China will contribute to Zimbabwe’s objectives and vision to increase irrigation coverage right across the country. It is also the bedrock of rural industrialization, because once you have water and there is agricultural output,” said Ncube.

The irrigation project will also help climate-proof agriculture and ensure food security, as rain-fed agriculture is vulnerable to climatic disturbances such as droughts and erratic rainfall, Ncube said.

“This is a resource that will be used for upgrading various irrigation schemes, and this is critical for climate-proofing Zimbabwe’s agriculture. We have said this is the way to do it, whether it rains or not, we want to make sure that we can produce enough food for Zimbabweans, and irrigation is the key,” said Ncube.

Addressing the signing ceremony, Chinese Ambassador to Zimbabwe Zhou Ding said the project marks another milestone in the close partnership between China and Zimbabwe.

“It is designed to unlock greater productivity for smallholder farmers, catalyze agricultural modernization, and strengthen the nation’s resilience to climate change,” said Zhou, adding that China has been continuing to support Zimbabwe through various projects to improve local people’s livelihoods.

Currency rates of NBP

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KARACHI, Dec 19 (APP):Following are the selling/buying rates of major currencies issued by the National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) here on  Friday.
CURRENCY                   SELLING              BUYING
USD                              282.05               279.03
GBP                               377.29               372.84
EUR                               330.56               326.67
JPY                                1.8070               1.7858
AED                                75.20                 74.31
SAR                                76.81                 75.89

World’s longest expressway tunnel to open to traffic in Xinjiang by year-end

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URUMQI, Dec. 19 (Xinhua/APP): The Tianshan Shengli Tunnel, the world’s longest expressway tunnel, will be open to traffic by the end of this year, enabling a new shortcut linking southern and northern parts of northwest China’s Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region.

Speaking at a press conference held by the Information Office of the Xinjiang regional government on Thursday, Guo Sheng, deputy director of the transport department said the Urumqi-Yuli Expressway that traverses the Tianshan Mountains via the tunnel is expected to alleviate a traffic bottleneck that has long hindered the coordinated development of Xinjiang’s northern and southern areas.

The 22.13-kilometer tunnel will reduce the time it takes to drive across the middle section of the Tianshan Mountains from several hours to about 20 minutes.

Once operational, the travel time from the regional capital of Urumqi, north of the Tianshan Mountains, to Korla, south of the Tianshan Mountains, will be shortened from seven hours to about three hours.

Türkiye-UK trade deal expected to enter force in 2026

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ISTANBUL, Dec 19 (AA/APP): A free trade agreement between Türkiye and the UK is expected to enter force in the second half of 2026, the chair of the British Chamber of Commerce in Türkiye told Anadolu.

“Everything is in the right direction, and the potential in Türkiye is very high,” Chris Gaunt said Thursday, noting that the UK is attractive for exporters, particularly tech startups, and Türkiye is equally attractive for UK firms.

Gaunt said the process has entered its third stage.

The free trade agreement will also expand into new sectors, including fintech and construction technologies, he added.

“Turkish tech companies are going to the UK to set up their business, (where they can) access funding and capability, which are also very strong in the UK,” he said. “Everybody is focusing on AI, and the UK has very strong capability in AI, so it attracts Turkish companies.”

The UK is the seventh-largest investor in Türkiye, Gaunt said, highlighting the long-standing positive relationship between the two countries.

Trade between Türkiye and the UK totals £28 billion ($37 billion), according to the UK government, making Türkiye the UK’s 17th-largest trading partner. This trade supports more than 57,000 jobs, according to the latest data.

Gaunt said Türkiye currently holds an advantage in the trade balance, estimating that the trade volume consists of 60% Turkish exports and 40% British exports.

He added that the agreement is expected to further boost trade and help balance overall trade volumes.

“Türkiye is a priority market for the UK, and the agreement will bring more confidence to more investors once it’s signed,” he said. “The future looks positive.”

China’s Sichuan breaks 100 mln-kw mark in hydropower installed capacity

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CHENGDU, Dec. 19 (Xinhua/APP): With the final generating unit of the Yinjiang Hydropower Station in southwest China’s Sichuan Province connected to the power grid Friday morning, the province’s total installed hydropower capacity surpassed a record-breaking 100 million kilowatts, accounting for about one-fourth of the country’s total.

As a key hub in China’s west-to-east power transmission program, Sichuan supplies about one-third of its generated electricity annually to regions outside the province.

Since 1998, when outbound transmission began, Sichuan has delivered over 1.9 trillion kilowatt-hours of clean electricity to central and eastern China, among other regions — enough to cover the total electricity consumption of Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Anhui provinces combined for a year, according to State Grid Sichuan Electric Power Company.

The Yinjiang Hydropower Station is located in Sichuan’s Panzhihua City, on the Jinsha River, with a total installed capacity of 390,000 kilowatts. Once fully operational, the station will be capable of delivering over 1.6 billion kilowatt-hours of clean energy annually, equivalent to reducing carbon dioxide emissions by 1.3 million tonnes, noted Yan Ruiping, chief engineer of the station’s operator.

Known as the “province of a thousand rivers,” Sichuan is rich in hydropower resources.

Across China: Yunnan truffle becomes globally-prized “Chinese specialty”

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KUNMING, Dec. 19 (Xinhua/APP): Ms. Sun, who runs a Western restaurant in Shanghai, recently placed an order for a batch of fresh Yunnan truffles, planning to launch seasonal limited dishes. In Guangzhou, Mr. Chen repurchased five cans of truffle sauce during the e-commerce promotion and left a comment: “Absolutely delicious!”

These orders, traveling thousands of miles, are all from Yongren County, Chuxiong Yi Autonomous Prefecture, southwest China’s Yunnan Province.

Truffles were once synonymous with “imported European luxury,” an extravagant treat enjoyed only by a few. Today, the story has changed. Truffles cultivated in Yunnan now supply the mainstream Chinese market and are shipped overseas by air, completing their journey from exotic imports to homegrown Chinese treasures.

As truffles grow in popularity among Chinese consumers and spawn a range of derivative products, Yunnan is actively building an integrated industrial chain spanning picking, processing, sales, and product innovation.

At 7 a.m., villager Li Yongxiu has already started her work with a bamboo basket and a small rake to harvest black truffles deep in the forest. “We didn’t realize the value of truffles until recently,” Li said, noting that mature truffles emit a special scent that often lures animals to dig them out.

With over 2,800 hours of annual sunshine and nearly 75 percent forest coverage, Yongren County provides ideal growing conditions for truffles. The county produces about 50 tonnes of truffles annually, accounting for a significant share of China’s total output.

Premium truffles from Yongren now fetch up to 850 yuan (about 120 U.S. dollars) per kilogram, and picking truffles has become a key source of additional income for local farmers. Li can earn more than 4,000 yuan during each harvesting season, while skilled pickers can make an extra 10,000 yuan or more.

To protect this unique resource, Yongren County has designated over 50,000 mu (about 3,333 hectares) of wild mushroom conservation and propagation bases, and bans truffle picking from March 1 to Oct. 31 every year to ensure better protection and good quality, said Wang Jianbiao, deputy chief of the county’s forestry and grassland administration.

In major producing areas, more than two training sessions are held annually to teach farmers how to identify mature truffles and adopt proper picking methods.

To extend the industrial chain and increase added value, local businesses have developed innovative products such as canned truffles, truffle mooncakes and truffle chocolate.

“Processing turns truffles into affordable delicacies for ordinary families,” said Lei Jinyu, manager of the technique center of Yongren Yesenda Mushroom Co., Ltd.

Established in 2014, the company has developed a series of truffle products, boosting its output value to over 40 million yuan in 2024, doubling the figure from the days when it sold only raw materials.

A breakthrough in preservation technology has extended the shelf life of fresh truffles from 20 to 45 days, enabling overseas sales. Lei added that the company’s products have been exported to France, Germany, the United Arab Emirates, and other countries.

Statistics show that China’s truffle exports registered a marked growth to approximately 45.4 tonnes in 2024. And in 2023, China’s export volume had already accounted for nearly one-third of global trade.

With improved ecological conditions, truffle-producing areas in China are expanding. Zhao Yongchang, a researcher at the Yunnan Academy of Agricultural Sciences, noted that, in addition to traditional production areas like Yunnan and Sichuan, truffle is now also produced in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, Inner Mongolia, and northeast China, further boosting the country’s truffle output.

Zhao acknowledged that due to species differences and insufficient brand accumulation, domestic truffles still have a price gap compared with European truffles. However, with technological progress and brand building, Chinese truffles are expected to shine brighter in the global market.

Third installment of “Avatar” hits Chinese screens

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BEIJING, Dec. 19 (Xinhua/APP): While “Zootopia 2” continues to shatter box-office records across China, James Cameron’s epic sci-fi film “Avatar: Fire and Ash” opened Friday in the Chinese mainland alongside its North American release.

Following “Avatar” (2009) and “Avatar: The Way of Water” (2022), the third installment in one of the most lucrative film franchises globally now joins a year-end release slate largely led by domestic titles in the world’s second-largest film market.

Despite strong anticipation, few would expect the new Avatar film to match the record-setting performance of “Avatar” in China. Released in 2010 in the mainland, it became China’s top-grossing title with 1.34 billion yuan (about 189.94 million U.S. dollars) in ticket sales.

The 2022 sequel earned 1.7 billion yuan in China but fell short of replicating that earlier success. By then, China’s top box-office benchmark had been raised to 5.77 billion yuan by the 2021 domestic blockbuster “The Battle at Lake Changjin.”

As of noon on its first screening day, “Avatar: Fire and Ash” garnered 69.65 million yuan in ticket sales, including preview screenings.

By late Thursday, China’s year-end box office revenue had already topped 4 billion yuan. This year’s year-end movie season runs from Nov. 28 to Dec. 31.

Kazakhstan surpasses 2025 housing goals as construction surges 15%

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ASTANA, Dec 19 (Kazinform/APP) : Deputy Minister of Industry and Construction Kuandyk Kazhkenov announced that Kazakhstan commissioned 16.9 million square meters of residential space between January and November 2025, Qazinform News Agency reports. It was noted that this represents modern housing for 154,300 families.
According to the deputy minister, the achieved indicators exceed the targets set in the President’s election program, which envisioned the commissioning of 15.9 million square meters of housing in 2025.
Kazhkenov also highlighted the steady growth of the construction sector. He said that the construction volume increased by 14.7% year-over-year, reaching 8.1 trillion tenge over the reporting period. As Qazinform reported earlier, Kazakhstan’s housing sector is poised for significant growth.